Granice rasta
| The Limits to Growth | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Autor(i) | Donella H. Meadows Dennis L. Meadows Jørgen Randers William W. Behrens III | ||
| Jezik | engleski | ||
| Izdavač | Universe Books | ||
| Datum izdanja | 1972 | ||
| Stranica | 205 | ||
| ISBN | 0-87663-165-0 | ||
| OCLC broj | 307838 | ||
| Kronologija | |||
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Granice rasta (engl. The Limits to Growth) je knjiga koju je godine 1972. objavila grupa autora okupljenih oko trusta mozgova poznatog kao Rimski klub. U njoj je, na temelju kompjuterskih modela iznijela vlastite procjene posljedica koje bi eksponencijalni ekonomski rast uz porast stanovništva mogli imati po budućnost Zemlje i čovječanstva, s posebnim naglaskom na međusobne odnose između stanovništva svijeta, industrijalizacije, zagađenja, proizvodnje hrane i osiromašenja resursa. Studija je izazvala izuzetno zanimanje javnosti, pogotovo nakon izbijanja Prvog naftnog šoka sljedeće godine, i značajno uticala na popularizaciju ekološkog pokreta i koncepta održivog razvoja, ali i na dugoročnu politiku mnogih, pogotovo najrazvijenijih industrijskih zemalja. Istovremeno je postala i predmetom žestokih debata koji traju do današnjeg dana.
Jedna analiza iz 2021. je uglavnom potvrdila predviđanja studije: ekonomski rast bi stao krajem 2020-tih, a u lošijem slučaju došlo bi i do društvenog kolapsa oko 2040.[1]
Povezano[uredi | uredi kod]
Izdanja[uredi | uredi kod]
- ISBN 0-87663-165-0, 1972 First edition
- ISBN 0-87663-222-3, 1974 Second edition (cloth)
- ISBN 0-87663-918-X, 1974 Second edition (paperback)
- ISBN 978-1-931498-58-6, ASIN 1-931498-58-X, 2004 Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update
Reference[uredi | uredi kod]
- ↑ Edward Helmore. Yep, it’s bleak, says expert who tested 1970s end-of-the-world prediction. theguardian.com Sun 25 Jul 2021
Vanjske veze[uredi | uredi kod]
- The Limits to Growth, licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial license
- A Resource site for those interested in finding out more about limits to growth Arhivirano 2012-01-04 na Wayback Machine-u
- World3-03 Simulator - runs scenarios discussed in "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update
- Revisiting The Limits to Growth: Could the Club of Rome Have Been Correct, After All? (By Matthew R. Simmons) Arhivirano 2021-10-20 na Wayback Machine-u
- 1999 Review by Club of Rome member
- A Synopsis of Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update
- What was there in the famous "Report to the Club of Rome"?
- Uppsala Protocol: how to act when one resource hits its limit
- Core Statement of the Institute of Growth Research (summary)
- Graham Turner (2008). "A Comparison of `The Limits to Growth` with Thirty Years of Reality" Arhivirano 2014-10-29 na Wayback Machine-u. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). See also
- YAN Kun(2011). The tendency equation of the population and its limit value in the United Kingdom (Brief annotation of the connection equation(R)), Xi'an: Xi'an Modern Nonlinear Science Applying Institute.
- Video and audio
